The American Non-Recovery: Jobless Nation Still Lacks Jobs
The June unemployment numbers came out this morning and everyone is like, woof, this is horrible. The Department of Labor can't even make it look all that good in the press release: "The number of persons unemployed for less than 5 weeks increased by 412,000 in June. The number of long-term unemployed (those jobless for 27 weeks and over) was essentially unchanged over the month, at 6.3 million, and accounted for 44.4 percent of the unemployed." Right. The "underemployment" rate is now 16.2 percent, essentially as high as it was a year ago. 14.1 million are officially unemployed, a rate of 9.2%. And the average unemployment period is basically 40 weeks.
In short? Nothing has changed for the better and no one will change anything about the entirely busted system of work in America. Let's look back at our long national nightmare that should be a total scandal and yet kind of isn't because there's a new Transformers movie!
• June 2, 2011: "There were 422,000 new claims for unemployment benefits last week."
• February 4, 2011: "The actual number of people in the labor force is now smaller, by half a million people. So yes! Unemployment is down! Fewer people consider themselves workers."
• November 5, 2010: "There were 457,000 new unemployment claims last week. Your President is still advocating for the Congress to extend unemployment benefits for all the old, boring unemployed, much of the total mass of the official 14.8 million jobless, most of whom ran out or are going to soon run out of the unemployment insurance."
• September 3, 2010: "'The total number of unemployed people rose to 14.86 million in August from 14.59 million in July.' More of those 'census' jobs went away, 114,000 of them, and also 10,000 more non-federal government jobs. 'The number of people out of work for 27 weeks' is now only 6.2 million."
• August 6, 2010: "The official 'underemployment' rate stands at 16.5%: 'That's roughly double the figure in December 2007, when the recession began.'"






But Choire, we have an exploding national debt and Social Security and Medicare crisis, to say nothing of blah blah blah blah blah blah.
Who elected these villains? And where's the nearest barricade?
Yep, the economy's going down for the third time… maybe somebody should do something.
Instead of paying farmers not to grow crops we could pay the unemployed not to live.
High unemployment is largely a result of poor skill sets, a collapsed credit bubble, a broken banking system (that neither Party will address) and globalization. These are long term trends that will likely not change. I think a healthier way to view things is that this is "The New Normal". Greater economic inequality and a declining standard of living for the majority of Americans are likely inevitable.
I don't see Americans as harder working or more skilled than billions of other people around the world, it only makes sense that the American standard of living should fall more in line with the international median.
In the long run, this is probably a healthy outcome for the planet.
@Lockheed Ventura So if we get more in line with places like India and China which practically have slave-labor economies, that's somehow going to be healthy? Nonsense. Globalization is nothing but a loophole around labor laws which we spent more than a century to put in place, and which are what took this nation from one of the slave-labor economies to one of the most prosperous in the world. The greedy imbeciles at the top of the food chain are now trying to undo all that and they must be stopped.
@Lockheed Ventura Let me mention that I am all for globalization if it's defined as prosperity for the whole planet (as opposed to it being isolated to US, EU and a few others). Here is how that should be done: the whole world should be one nation, with every human having exactly the same rights (the rights like we have here). That's the only way to do it. Otherwise, it's just big corporations exploiting the humans who live in the nations that don't give their workers any rights.
@Lockheed Ventura Except that the fortunes of the middle (or "laboring") classes have been in decline now for about 40 years. As Wolff put it, capital took the huge gains it realized from increased productivity and lent a good part of it to the workers instead of paying it as wages.
What Niko said.
@Niko Bellic : As Lockheed mentioned briefly, an American-style "middle class lifestyle" for every human being would equal total environmental collapse, all economic issues aside. Unfortunately, that's the gold standard to which developing economies are currently aspiring (or at least pledging fealty).
The decline of the American middle class really doesn't affect this much at all. 1.3 billion Chinese people are expecting cars and Levittown houses within their lifetimes.
@Gef the Talking Mongoose : To be clear, I'll say that that prosperity for all is not a bad goal. In fact, it's probably one of the few decent, human goals we can have. But "prosperity" is going to have to be radically redefined away from the American suburban ideal to have any chance of being economically or environmentally sustainable. As a diehard urbanite, I've never been particularly in love with "everyone gets a car! and another car! and standalone house with a garage for both of them!" but that's the expectation that's currently being set for and by developing nations.
Oh, and culling a few of the more venal overconsumers from the top of the economic food chain couldn't hurt, either. But that's more of a personal-satisfaction deal than anything that would really shift the development goals of emerging economies.
@Lockheed Ventura
good troll, 8/10
"declining standard of living for the majority of Americans" could be presented as a reasonable outcome – if that decline had a semi-rational quantitative target and endpoint. Complete, sudden denial of housing, food, & healthcare for a hundred million capable working adults in a country with extreme wealth concentrated in the top 1% = not a reasonable outcome. See the image Choire attached to the post? Yes, this is an angry mob scenario developing.
@brianvan Yup. After all, it's not the American standard of living eroding at a moderate pace for all. It's the American standard of living eroding slowly for most, and absolutely disappearing (complete destitution) for an increasingly large minority. That is most definitely NOT good.
In other words, if mass unemployment (and, over time, an increasingly large pool of non-working citizens) is the new norm, you're going to have to find something better to do with them than HOPE they don't end up sleeping under bridges. As American society is set up now it's simply almost impossible to live without a job.
@brianvan @brianvan What you call trolling, might just be stating things that Americans are in complete denial about. I hope you are right, and there is some sort of easy fix for the economy, that Obama can pull the proverbial rabbit out of the hat.
Or maybe we are facing long term secular changes in the economy, and we need face this fact head on. Perhaps extreme wealth differentials among nations are impossible in an open trading system. Can we have that discussion?
My point is that high unemployment should not be treated as some sort of "mystery" that our national leaders are trying to solve. It is the direct result of policy decisions that both political parties endorse wholeheartedly.
@Lockheed Ventura I agree with you completely that this is likely the "new normal", which is to say the jobs are NOT coming back. Which means we're either going to have to redistribute wealth, set up literal poorhouses, or pay people to dig ditches to prevent a powder keg type scenario. The political system in this country has reached an intractable point where it's essentially impossible to raise taxes so I'm not sure how any of those things would be accomplished.
Basically, we're all fucked, and things are either going to get really sad or really bloody or both.
> high unemployment should not be treated as some sort of
> "mystery" that our national leaders are trying to solve. It is
> the direct result of policy decisions that both political
> parties endorse wholeheartedly.
Right. So how about we chuck both political parties and start over?
@Gef the Talking Mongoose I wasn't talking about "American way of life" (especially not in contrast to "European") in terms of the way we spend our money and waste resources. I was talking about democracy, human rights, and the rule of law. I agree: urban life is the way to go (plus farms and villages, of course) … suburbs should simply be banned, they are absolutely unsustainable.
It's this simple: Nationalize all the banks or break up the mega-banks.
@Rod T Why?
@deepomega Why not?
@Lockheed Ventura Because I don't want a government that can ever be controlled by republicans to be in charge of any nationalized industries. Your turn!
@deepomega Who do you think is running the banks now, fans of Bernie Sanders?
@Lockheed Ventura: At least now there is even the thinnest layer between government policy and bank policy. Nationalizing will just get rid of that.
@deepomega How about we have a government bank that can "compete" with Wall Street in financing government infrastructure projects? That is all I really want at this point. We can build from there.
@Lockheed Ventura. Yeah nationalizing all the banks is pretty extreme, but I think there could be a lot of benefit to having a bank of the US. The giant unrecognized scandal about the bailout was that they sold it to the American public by saying that otherwise we wouldn't be able to get car loans, home loans, etc. So they gave the banks a ton of free cash, and the banks got to turn around and give it to us at inflated interest rates. Meanwhile at that time the US could have bought a national banking chain for the price of a conservatively-priced Lower Manhattan meal and loaned the money directly to us, instead of giving the people who caused the disaster a chance to make windfall profits off their own stupidity.
Choire, your ability to gather information and put it into a concise format is impressive and appreciated. However, about that information let me say, "This SUCKS".
I have an idea! Let's pay the unemployed to build rockets! To Mars!
(Oh, wait a minute. Sorry, thought I was still reading the "Goodbye, Slacker Space Program" piece. Never mind.)
Haha. You said woof.