The Awl http://www.theawl.com/ Be Less Stupid Fri, 02 Sep 2011 09:00:03 +0000 en hourly 1 http://wordpress.org/?v=3.0.2 States and Towns Destroyed Half a Million Jobs in Three Years http://www.theawl.com/2011/09/states-and-towns-destroyed-half-a-million-jobs-in-three-years http://www.theawl.com/2011/09/states-and-towns-destroyed-half-a-million-jobs-in-three-years#comments Fri, 02 Sep 2011 09:00:03 +0000 Choire Sicha http://www.theawl.com/2011/09/states-and-towns-destroyed-half-a-million-jobs-in-three-years LET'S ROLL"Since employment peaked in September 2008, local government has lost 550,000 jobs."

—Hooray, America got its smaller government! Of those jobs, 345,000 disappeared in a year. But let's not even get into these August employment numbers, just released. Why bother? It's a long-term trend, the not-working, and that's the way they ("they"!) want it.

It should perhaps however be noted that the August report does some serious correction on the June and July reports: "The change in total nonfarm payroll employment for June was revised from +46,000 to +20,000, and the change for July was revised from +117,000 to +85,000." So yeah, strike those 58,000 jobs that weren't created this summer from the permanent record. Happy Labor Day.

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LET'S ROLL"Since employment peaked in September 2008, local government has lost 550,000 jobs."

—Hooray, America got its smaller government! Of those jobs, 345,000 disappeared in a year. But let's not even get into these August employment numbers, just released. Why bother? It's a long-term trend, the not-working, and that's the way they ("they"!) want it.

It should perhaps however be noted that the August report does some serious correction on the June and July reports: "The change in total nonfarm payroll employment for June was revised from +46,000 to +20,000, and the change for July was revised from +117,000 to +85,000." So yeah, strike those 58,000 jobs that weren't created this summer from the permanent record. Happy Labor Day.

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England Now Has More Prisoners Per Capita Than Australia http://www.theawl.com/2011/08/england-now-has-more-prisoners-per-capita-than-australia http://www.theawl.com/2011/08/england-now-has-more-prisoners-per-capita-than-australia#comments Thu, 18 Aug 2011 16:10:46 +0000 Choire Sicha http://www.theawl.com/2011/08/england-now-has-more-prisoners-per-capita-than-australia "The prison population of England and Wales has hit a new record high of 86,608 people," thanks to several hundred young rioters being held in the system. Yup: 86,000 people are in prison out of a population of 53,390,300. Yeah... so that's .0016% of England and Wales. (The U.S. has about 2,300,000 people in prison, out of 307,006,550 people—almost five times as many, by population.)

Guess what? This means England has surpassed its tragic colony, old Prisoncrime Island, in rates of imprisonment—with all of 22 million people, Australia has only like 30,000 people in prison. (Though they're trying desperately to up their rates!)

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"The prison population of England and Wales has hit a new record high of 86,608 people," thanks to several hundred young rioters being held in the system. Yup: 86,000 people are in prison out of a population of 53,390,300. Yeah... so that's .0016% of England and Wales. (The U.S. has about 2,300,000 people in prison, out of 307,006,550 people—almost five times as many, by population.)

Guess what? This means England has surpassed its tragic colony, old Prisoncrime Island, in rates of imprisonment—with all of 22 million people, Australia has only like 30,000 people in prison. (Though they're trying desperately to up their rates!)

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Top Three Fun Facts About America Tossing People Overboard from '07 to '09 http://www.theawl.com/2011/08/top-three-fun-facts-about-america-tossing-people-overboard-from-07-to-09 http://www.theawl.com/2011/08/top-three-fun-facts-about-america-tossing-people-overboard-from-07-to-09#comments Thu, 04 Aug 2011 09:40:27 +0000 Choire Sicha http://www.theawl.com/2011/08/top-three-fun-facts-about-america-tossing-people-overboard-from-07-to-09 LET'S ROLLThe IRS did an analysis of the 2009 tax year, and some interesting and not surprising things happened!

• More than 3% of households that had job income in 2007 had none in 2009.

• America's average household income fell 13.7% from 2007 to 2009.

• Two million fewer people filed tax returns from 2007 to 2009.

Goodbye! America doesn't need you.

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LET'S ROLLThe IRS did an analysis of the 2009 tax year, and some interesting and not surprising things happened!

• More than 3% of households that had job income in 2007 had none in 2009.

• America's average household income fell 13.7% from 2007 to 2009.

• Two million fewer people filed tax returns from 2007 to 2009.

Goodbye! America doesn't need you.

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Horrible 'Times' Spam Farm Gets What It Deserves http://www.theawl.com/2011/07/horrible-times-spam-farm-is-toast http://www.theawl.com/2011/07/horrible-times-spam-farm-is-toast#comments Thu, 21 Jul 2011 09:50:47 +0000 Choire Sicha http://www.theawl.com/2011/07/horrible-times-spam-farm-is-toast About.com, the content farm owned by the Times and one of the worst things on the Internet, looks like it's finally in trouble, due in large part to Google taking action against the Garbagenet. (These outfits depend on search results.) And also: advertisers realizing there are better ways to spend money than advertising against an empty void. In the second quarter of this year, About.com shed staff and now their real operating costs are $13.1 million; their operating profit is down 24% from last year, to $11.6 million. (That's less than $4 million a month.) To be fair, this is still a "real business": The About Group had revenues of $59 million year-to-date, so hey, I'd take it, but the writing is on the wall for this as a visionary business. It's not. It's bad for the Internet and not even that great for your wallet. There's a number of not-so-great numbers at the Times, just released today for the second quarter, but let's look at the interesting numbers: who subscribes online?

"Paid digital subscribers": 224,000.

"Paid e-reader subscribers": 57,000.

Free digital subscribers ("paid for" by a sponsor): 100,000.

"Home-delivery subscribers with free linked digital accounts": 756,000.

So that's 1,037,000 people paying, in one way or another, to access the Times online, though the vast majority of them are actually paying for the physical newspapers, and getting the digital version for "free." (And what's more: a number of those are paying for just the weekend paper, not the daily paper.)

And "circulation" is down from 2011 to 2010. The Times puts it this way: "the rate of home-delivery circulation declines slowed moderately, as we observed an uptick in new home-delivery orders and a decrease in attrition following the launch as print subscribers of all frequencies receive all digital access at no additional cost." The use of the word "uptick" is funny there, given that the number of subscribers is, you know, on a decline. The point being: only a slightly fewer number of people actually stopped getting the paper, and also some started getting the paper (*raises hand!*), just so that they could get the paper "for free" online. Not terrible; this seems according to plan! The Times Company as a whole would technically be (or, you know, in the real world, "is") making about $28 million a month—if it weren't for all those pesky write-downs that dragged it way into the hole this quarter.

But saying, as the CEO did, that digital subscriptions will provide the company “with a significant new revenue stream in the second half of this year" seems like a pretty grand over-statement. 224,000 people at $15 a month is $3.36 million; at $35 a month, that's $7.8 million. You apparently can't even pay for the staff of About.com with that—and it costs ten times that last number to actually produce the physical paper.

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About.com, the content farm owned by the Times and one of the worst things on the Internet, looks like it's finally in trouble, due in large part to Google taking action against the Garbagenet. (These outfits depend on search results.) And also: advertisers realizing there are better ways to spend money than advertising against an empty void. In the second quarter of this year, About.com shed staff and now their real operating costs are $13.1 million; their operating profit is down 24% from last year, to $11.6 million. (That's less than $4 million a month.) To be fair, this is still a "real business": The About Group had revenues of $59 million year-to-date, so hey, I'd take it, but the writing is on the wall for this as a visionary business. It's not. It's bad for the Internet and not even that great for your wallet. There's a number of not-so-great numbers at the Times, just released today for the second quarter, but let's look at the interesting numbers: who subscribes online?

"Paid digital subscribers": 224,000.

"Paid e-reader subscribers": 57,000.

Free digital subscribers ("paid for" by a sponsor): 100,000.

"Home-delivery subscribers with free linked digital accounts": 756,000.

So that's 1,037,000 people paying, in one way or another, to access the Times online, though the vast majority of them are actually paying for the physical newspapers, and getting the digital version for "free." (And what's more: a number of those are paying for just the weekend paper, not the daily paper.)

And "circulation" is down from 2011 to 2010. The Times puts it this way: "the rate of home-delivery circulation declines slowed moderately, as we observed an uptick in new home-delivery orders and a decrease in attrition following the launch as print subscribers of all frequencies receive all digital access at no additional cost." The use of the word "uptick" is funny there, given that the number of subscribers is, you know, on a decline. The point being: only a slightly fewer number of people actually stopped getting the paper, and also some started getting the paper (*raises hand!*), just so that they could get the paper "for free" online. Not terrible; this seems according to plan! The Times Company as a whole would technically be (or, you know, in the real world, "is") making about $28 million a month—if it weren't for all those pesky write-downs that dragged it way into the hole this quarter.

But saying, as the CEO did, that digital subscriptions will provide the company “with a significant new revenue stream in the second half of this year" seems like a pretty grand over-statement. 224,000 people at $15 a month is $3.36 million; at $35 a month, that's $7.8 million. You apparently can't even pay for the staff of About.com with that—and it costs ten times that last number to actually produce the physical paper.

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The American Non-Recovery: Jobless Nation Still Lacks Jobs http://www.theawl.com/2011/07/the-american-non-recovery-jobless-nation-still-lacks-jobs http://www.theawl.com/2011/07/the-american-non-recovery-jobless-nation-still-lacks-jobs#comments Fri, 08 Jul 2011 09:27:41 +0000 Choire Sicha http://www.theawl.com/2011/07/the-american-non-recovery-jobless-nation-still-lacks-jobs LET'S ROLLThe June unemployment numbers came out this morning and everyone is like, woof, this is horrible. The Department of Labor can't even make it look all that good in the press release: "The number of persons unemployed for less than 5 weeks increased by 412,000 in June. The number of long-term unemployed (those jobless for 27 weeks and over) was essentially unchanged over the month, at 6.3 million, and accounted for 44.4 percent of the unemployed." Right. The "underemployment" rate is now 16.2 percent, essentially as high as it was a year ago. 14.1 million are officially unemployed, a rate of 9.2%. And the average unemployment period is basically 40 weeks.

In short? Nothing has changed for the better and no one will change anything about the entirely busted system of work in America. Let's look back at our long national nightmare that should be a total scandal and yet kind of isn't because there's a new Transformers movie!

• June 2, 2011: "There were 422,000 new claims for unemployment benefits last week."

• February 4, 2011: "The actual number of people in the labor force is now smaller, by half a million people. So yes! Unemployment is down! Fewer people consider themselves workers."

• November 5, 2010: "There were 457,000 new unemployment claims last week. Your President is still advocating for the Congress to extend unemployment benefits for all the old, boring unemployed, much of the total mass of the official 14.8 million jobless, most of whom ran out or are going to soon run out of the unemployment insurance."

• September 3, 2010: "'The total number of unemployed people rose to 14.86 million in August from 14.59 million in July.' More of those 'census' jobs went away, 114,000 of them, and also 10,000 more non-federal government jobs. 'The number of people out of work for 27 weeks' is now only 6.2 million."

• August 6, 2010: "The official 'underemployment' rate stands at 16.5%: 'That's roughly double the figure in December 2007, when the recession began.'"

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LET'S ROLLThe June unemployment numbers came out this morning and everyone is like, woof, this is horrible. The Department of Labor can't even make it look all that good in the press release: "The number of persons unemployed for less than 5 weeks increased by 412,000 in June. The number of long-term unemployed (those jobless for 27 weeks and over) was essentially unchanged over the month, at 6.3 million, and accounted for 44.4 percent of the unemployed." Right. The "underemployment" rate is now 16.2 percent, essentially as high as it was a year ago. 14.1 million are officially unemployed, a rate of 9.2%. And the average unemployment period is basically 40 weeks.

In short? Nothing has changed for the better and no one will change anything about the entirely busted system of work in America. Let's look back at our long national nightmare that should be a total scandal and yet kind of isn't because there's a new Transformers movie!

• June 2, 2011: "There were 422,000 new claims for unemployment benefits last week."

• February 4, 2011: "The actual number of people in the labor force is now smaller, by half a million people. So yes! Unemployment is down! Fewer people consider themselves workers."

• November 5, 2010: "There were 457,000 new unemployment claims last week. Your President is still advocating for the Congress to extend unemployment benefits for all the old, boring unemployed, much of the total mass of the official 14.8 million jobless, most of whom ran out or are going to soon run out of the unemployment insurance."

• September 3, 2010: "'The total number of unemployed people rose to 14.86 million in August from 14.59 million in July.' More of those 'census' jobs went away, 114,000 of them, and also 10,000 more non-federal government jobs. 'The number of people out of work for 27 weeks' is now only 6.2 million."

• August 6, 2010: "The official 'underemployment' rate stands at 16.5%: 'That's roughly double the figure in December 2007, when the recession began.'"

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The Jobs Never Came Back http://www.theawl.com/2011/06/the-jobs-never-came-back http://www.theawl.com/2011/06/the-jobs-never-came-back#comments Thu, 02 Jun 2011 10:20:16 +0000 Choire Sicha http://www.theawl.com/2011/06/the-jobs-never-came-back Hey, remember the recovery from the recession? When businesses were going to make money and then the jobs would come back? Paul Krugman looks at the non-recovery of employment today. Above is the graph since 1948. There were 422,000 new claims for unemployment benefits last week.

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Hey, remember the recovery from the recession? When businesses were going to make money and then the jobs would come back? Paul Krugman looks at the non-recovery of employment today. Above is the graph since 1948. There were 422,000 new claims for unemployment benefits last week.

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Far Fewer Workers Means a Much Better Unemployment Rate http://www.theawl.com/2011/02/far-fewer-workers-means-a-much-better-unemployment-rate http://www.theawl.com/2011/02/far-fewer-workers-means-a-much-better-unemployment-rate#comments Fri, 04 Feb 2011 09:05:02 +0000 Choire Sicha http://www.theawl.com/2011/02/far-fewer-workers-means-a-much-better-unemployment-rate LET'S ROLLThe "real" unemployment number fell from 16.7% to 16.1% in January. The "actual" unemployment number went down to just 9%—even though there weren't a lot of jobs created in the month. The current number of unemployed people is now 13.9 million people. (Just FYI, Canada created 69,000 jobs in January!) People are still making sense of these job numbers. One thing that helps make sense of them is that the actual number of people in the labor force is now smaller, by half a million people. So yes! Unemployment is down! Fewer people consider themselves workers.

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LET'S ROLLThe "real" unemployment number fell from 16.7% to 16.1% in January. The "actual" unemployment number went down to just 9%—even though there weren't a lot of jobs created in the month. The current number of unemployed people is now 13.9 million people. (Just FYI, Canada created 69,000 jobs in January!) People are still making sense of these job numbers. One thing that helps make sense of them is that the actual number of people in the labor force is now smaller, by half a million people. So yes! Unemployment is down! Fewer people consider themselves workers.

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"It's Not About Scale": Defending the iPad's Magazine Sales Numbers http://www.theawl.com/2010/10/its-not-about-scale-defending-the-ipads-magazine-sales-numbers http://www.theawl.com/2010/10/its-not-about-scale-defending-the-ipads-magazine-sales-numbers#comments Fri, 22 Oct 2010 15:40:14 +0000 Choire Sicha http://www.theawl.com/2010/10/its-not-about-scale-defending-the-ipads-magazine-sales-numbers As things are currently set up, people with iPads who want to buy a magazine on their shiny device have to go searching for it. There's no magazine rack, or what have you. Still, I'm not sure you can put that sunny a face on the figures for sales of magazines on the iPad, as reported by Ad Age. Wired at least started extremely strong, at 100,000. Now they do about 30,000 an issue. Still pretty good! People is doing 10,000 an issue (and that includes free digital issues to print subscribers). Vanity Fair does about 9000 an issue. Other magazines are doing even fewer sales; many are doing about 1% of newsstand sales. There were 4.19 million iPads sold in the third quarter of this year; some say there's about 7.5 million iPads sold in total, though some estimate it's just 5 million. So at most, and the very most conservatively, at one point for Wired, during the to-date best-selling moment for magazines on the iPad, 1 in 50 iPad owners bought an issue. That number dropped to about 1 in 150. What are the other 149 people doing with their iPads is what I want to know. (Besides having Obama sign it.)

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As things are currently set up, people with iPads who want to buy a magazine on their shiny device have to go searching for it. There's no magazine rack, or what have you. Still, I'm not sure you can put that sunny a face on the figures for sales of magazines on the iPad, as reported by Ad Age. Wired at least started extremely strong, at 100,000. Now they do about 30,000 an issue. Still pretty good! People is doing 10,000 an issue (and that includes free digital issues to print subscribers). Vanity Fair does about 9000 an issue. Other magazines are doing even fewer sales; many are doing about 1% of newsstand sales. There were 4.19 million iPads sold in the third quarter of this year; some say there's about 7.5 million iPads sold in total, though some estimate it's just 5 million. So at most, and the very most conservatively, at one point for Wired, during the to-date best-selling moment for magazines on the iPad, 1 in 50 iPad owners bought an issue. That number dropped to about 1 in 150. What are the other 149 people doing with their iPads is what I want to know. (Besides having Obama sign it.)

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Magazines: Are There More or Fewer Now? http://www.theawl.com/2010/07/magazines-are-there-more-or-fewer-now http://www.theawl.com/2010/07/magazines-are-there-more-or-fewer-now#comments Tue, 13 Jul 2010 13:02:13 +0000 Choire Sicha http://www.theawl.com/2010/07/magazines-are-there-more-or-fewer-now VOM"Magazine Shutdowns Slow Drastically" go the headlines today-or also "Magazines Are Starting To Come Back To Life." That's from a new survey that says only 87 magazines shut down in the first half of 2010, while there were a whopping 279 magazine shutdowns in the first half of 2009. (No reporter revealed this survey's sample size.) For some more history: 525 magazines closed down in all of 2008; 591 in 2007. Now, the Magazine Publishers of America, in their own just-released comparison of the first half of 2010 to 2009, only tracks 226 magazines-the big ones. And one of them is Cookie and one is Gourmet and one is Blender and one is Bestlife and one is Portfolio and one is Elegant Bride... all closed now, and obviously that list goes on.

So let's generously round off their active tracking to around 200 magazines. But that's a very small percentage of the country's magazines.

There are very roughly something like 10,000 magazines as of 2009 in the United States. 1500 of those are college or alumni magazines; about 1100 each are medical or "regional interest"; 500 are car magazines; 350 are construction-related; 250 are law-related; almost 800 are law magazines.

The vast majority of these are tiny. When you list just the top 100 magazines in America by circulation, you are already dipping into magazines with circulation below a million people. If you look back at 2006, a weirdly boomy time for new magazines (trying to capture "ethnic" markets and brides and the like), there were 15,000 or so magazines in the US and Canada.

So: are there more magazines? Fewer?

The answer is sort of "it doesn't matter." It's negligible. What isn't negligible is the shrinking of the industry itself, as a place of employment. There are pretty much the same number of magazines as there were in recent years, if you look at "recent years" being the last few decades, or more instead of less, but the industry itself is much smaller.

One datapoint that's helpful to look at is how nearly all magazines, big and small, made do with less. This look at staffing at Time and Newsweek from '83 to '05 says plenty.

EMPLOYMENT OVER TIME

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VOM"Magazine Shutdowns Slow Drastically" go the headlines today-or also "Magazines Are Starting To Come Back To Life." That's from a new survey that says only 87 magazines shut down in the first half of 2010, while there were a whopping 279 magazine shutdowns in the first half of 2009. (No reporter revealed this survey's sample size.) For some more history: 525 magazines closed down in all of 2008; 591 in 2007. Now, the Magazine Publishers of America, in their own just-released comparison of the first half of 2010 to 2009, only tracks 226 magazines-the big ones. And one of them is Cookie and one is Gourmet and one is Blender and one is Bestlife and one is Portfolio and one is Elegant Bride... all closed now, and obviously that list goes on.

So let's generously round off their active tracking to around 200 magazines. But that's a very small percentage of the country's magazines.

There are very roughly something like 10,000 magazines as of 2009 in the United States. 1500 of those are college or alumni magazines; about 1100 each are medical or "regional interest"; 500 are car magazines; 350 are construction-related; 250 are law-related; almost 800 are law magazines.

The vast majority of these are tiny. When you list just the top 100 magazines in America by circulation, you are already dipping into magazines with circulation below a million people. If you look back at 2006, a weirdly boomy time for new magazines (trying to capture "ethnic" markets and brides and the like), there were 15,000 or so magazines in the US and Canada.

So: are there more magazines? Fewer?

The answer is sort of "it doesn't matter." It's negligible. What isn't negligible is the shrinking of the industry itself, as a place of employment. There are pretty much the same number of magazines as there were in recent years, if you look at "recent years" being the last few decades, or more instead of less, but the industry itself is much smaller.

One datapoint that's helpful to look at is how nearly all magazines, big and small, made do with less. This look at staffing at Time and Newsweek from '83 to '05 says plenty.

EMPLOYMENT OVER TIME

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Educated, Over 45 and Job-Seeking? Lotsa Luck http://www.theawl.com/2010/07/educated-over-45-and-job-seeking-lotsa-luck http://www.theawl.com/2010/07/educated-over-45-and-job-seeking-lotsa-luck#comments Tue, 06 Jul 2010 15:40:27 +0000 Choire Sicha http://www.theawl.com/2010/07/educated-over-45-and-job-seeking-lotsa-luck One person who went through some recent jobs data says that: "the average length of unemployment is always higher for the older cohort (45+) regardless of the level of education; generally the more education an individual has, the higher the average length of unemployment." But, but, but what about all those factories who were telling the Times they just can't find anyone to hire?

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One person who went through some recent jobs data says that: "the average length of unemployment is always higher for the older cohort (45+) regardless of the level of education; generally the more education an individual has, the higher the average length of unemployment." But, but, but what about all those factories who were telling the Times they just can't find anyone to hire?

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