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Friday, July 8, 2011

27

The Space Shuttle: Goodbye To A Slacker Space Program

Characterization of the NASA's Space Transportation System, what we commonly call the Space Shuttle program, as nothing but a glorified Greyhound—even better yet, "space carpooling"—is common. Even today, as the shuttle program wraps up for good, it’s hard to escape a certain feeling of underwhelmed-ness, especially if you try to review all of the accomplishments of the program. (Give it a try.) What did the Space Shuttle do besides carry things back and forth? Well, obviously carrying things back and forth has its importance, but considering that our space program has long been a point of pride, what are the high points to which we can point proudly?

The final launch that will happen today (barring delays for weather or other exigencies), is an event made almost entirely of Lasts. The last training simulation. The last pre-mission quarantine of the crew. The last traffic jam on Route 1 heading for Cape Canaveral. The last countdown, and then a quick series of lasts as the last space shuttle makes the last mission: two hundred miles of vertical ascent covered in less time than it takes to eat a grouper sandwich, a streak of smoke heading eastward (using the rotation of the planet for added thrust) visible for miles.

After that, there are no more. The existing shuttles will be carted off to their various resting places, where they will be viewable as artifacts. NASA will stay in the business of tossing cargo into orbit with its various rockets, but if it’s a person that you need in near space, you’ll have to hire a Soyuz from Russia, or wait for the futurist/entrepreneurs like Richard Branson catch up. But for the shuttle program, it’s last last call.

It’s an instinctive opportunity for nostalgia. The Space Transportation System was planned for ten years, and has been operational for thirty. A wide swath of the population has grown up knowing nothing but the space shuttle, as far as space programs go. But it is hard to look at this as a triumphal moment, and not just because endings are messy.

From the earliest days, the shuttle program seemed to underperform, and expectations were low before the first launch. Representative of the leeriness is Gregg Easterbrook’s
detailed feature for Washington Monthly from 1980 that reads today as ominously prescient. In 1980 the initial launch was still a year away, and the program had been plagued with cost overruns and delays, all lovingly catalogued by Easterbrook. He also tells of how the mission of the shuttle program was purposely modest, to create a vehicle with no higher purpose than to carry things and people back and forth:

"First you have to get the horse," said Dr. Jerry Gray, former NASA scientist and now public policy director of the American Institute of Aeronautics and Astronautics, "then you decide where to ride him."

To call the space shuttle a high-tech eighteen-wheeler is not slander; it was the point all along. It's a space shuttle, not a space limousine. After the moon had been attained, there was a scarcity of inspirational goals, and NASA, funds being squeezed by an administration with no ownership of the accomplishments that just happened, settled on plans for a (comparatively) low-cost, reusable launch vehicle that would ferry astronauts back and forth into low earth orbit. And that's what the shuttle program did, eventually, less cheaply, less reliably and less safely than intended. Over 130 missions is nothing to sneeze at, but aside from carrying passengers to the International Space Station and repairing the Hubble Space Telescope, there's not a whole lot of (nor has there been since the moonshot) need to put humans up there. The space shuttles can carry satellites into orbit, but the really good ones, the geosynchronous ones that are in an orbit that keeps them over one fixed point on the globe at all times, are placed 22,000 miles above the planet. The space shuttles could only go about 600 miles up, and NASA single-use launch vehicles (rockets, we call them) are just a cheaper way of doing it.

The space shuttle mission goals were predicated on the assumption, the belief, that there would be a need to transport men and women up and down the gravity well. And now, 40 years later, that need is primarily to man/unman the ISS, a project scheduled for decommissioning (de-orbiting, more like) in less than ten years. The reason that NASA decided not to replace the shuttle program with a NASA-run manned launch vehicle is that NASA forgot to create the necessity for one. (To be fair, a "Multi-Purpose Crew Vehicle" was recently announced, scheduled to be mission-ready by the 2020s, if it survives the budgetary reluctance of the House Appropriations Committee.)

***

The blind spot in the mission of the shuttle program was not unknown to NASA. In 1990, they released a Report of the Advisory Committee on the Future of the U.S. Space Program, which was not just a look forward, but also a review of the program’s first nine years. The chief concern of the report is a “lack of a national consensus as to what should be the goals of the civil space program and how they should in fact be accomplished,” a concern that was no doubt as true at the conception of the shuttle program as it is now. Should the space program be a delivery service for private satellites, or leading the charge into space-based manufacturing? Should manned vehicles be used at all, considering that technology had gotten to the point where automation could be more effective in extreme environments? The report naturally had its suggestions, all with acronyms, seemingly constructed to cover all the bases and satisfy all stripes of critics, which suggestions do not resemble 2011 at all.

The report also isolates perhaps the deepest flaw of the shuttle program, or at least the most important lacking ingredient:

Yet perhaps the most important space benefit of all is intangible — the uplifting of spirits and human pride in response to truly great accomplishments — whether they be the sight of a single human orbiting freely around the Earth at 18,000 miles per hour, or a picture of Uranus' moon Miranda transmitted 1.7 billion miles through space, and taking some 2-1/2 hours merely to arrive at our listening stations even when traveling literally at the speed of light. Such accomplishments have served to unite our nation, hold our attention, and inspire us all, particularly our youth, as few other events have done in the history of our nation or even the world.

***

I was born not three months after Neil Armstrong decamped from Apollo 13 11, dropping a [sic] on live television. When I was a little kid, astronauts garnered a big bite of the imagination bandwidth. We little kids played with astronaut toys and dressed up like astronauts when we went door-to-door on Halloween. We wanted to be astronauts when we grew up. The moon landing informed us that we had something to look up to and aspire to be—not just an explorer, and not a cosmonaut, that little linguistic sleight-of-hand connoting the competition of nations, no. We wanted to be an astronaut, with a fishbowl on our heads and an Old Glory patch on our uniforms.

The United States climbed space exploration and planted a flag in it like it was a mountain. In fact one of our noted alternative historians, Sarah Palin, claims that it was the space race in the '60s that toppled all the Soviet Socialist Republics. Our post-Sputnik dominance of space was an unmistakable emblem of the preeminence of the United States, of the exceptionalism that is now ingrained, of Americanism. There are guns and there is butter, but who else could devote a tenth of their GDP to accomplish something unimaginable and mythic? Who else put boots on the ground on something that was literally not of this Earth? That was us.

And then came the shuttle program. Ambitions whittled down, and then perpetually over-budget, it limped into the '80s. In the 30 years since, it has provided a fraction of the missions that were originally intended. And sadly, it also provided a generational moment as vivid as the moonshot, and then another one, mysteriously less vivid, less than ten years later.

Boomers got Apollo 11, the Xers got Challenger disintegrating live on televisions dragged in front of elementary school students to see the first teacher in space, and then the Millennials got the awkward apathy following the break-up of Columbia on re-entry in 2003. And whatever we will call the generation that are kids now, they will get silence.

Which silence starts today, assuming the Atlantis mission goes off as planned. Coverage will not be as hundred-year-flood as the most recent royal wedding. There will be coverage, and there will be odes spoken and songs sung, delivered by many people with expensive haircuts/teeth on television newscasts. Many will be watching the live NASA feed. It will be a passing curiosity. Saturday will be a slow news day in summer, as they can be. Maybe a baseball story will come out, or maybe something political. Maybe another trial in Florida. We seem to love those.

But we will watch, those of us old enough to care, if only for the awe-inspiring visuals, and the bittersweetness.



Brent Cox is a writer living in—you guessed it—Brooklyn. He is a proud contributor to the Awl. He will be appearing at the Cornelia Street Café in late July. He tumbls. That’s not a word.

1988 photo of Atlantis by NASA,, via Wikimedia Commons.

27 Comments / Post A Comment

anildash
anildash (#487)

"I was born not three months after Neil Armstrong decamped from Apollo 13, dropping a [sic] on live television. "

Uhhh.... throw a [sic] on the key fact in that sentence?

brent_cox
brent_cox (#40)

@anildash totally my bad.

NotAndersonCooper

Armstrong decamped from Apollo 11. It was Tom Hanks who decamped from Apollo 13.

deepomega
deepomega (#1,720)

Fortunately, the long-term goals of NASA are actually inspirational now. Mars in twenty years!

boyofdestiny
boyofdestiny (#1,243)

@deepomega Red rocks!

SeanP
SeanP (#4,058)

@deepomega They'd be more inspirational if there was a hope in hell they'd actually be accomplished. Going to Mars in 20 years would require substantial money to be spent starting, well, now. And there's no sign of that happening.

I have mixed feelings about the whole thing. I was five at the time of Apollo 11, and I'll never forget watching the moon landings. So I totally get the appeal of going to Mars. But - going to Mars would cost an unimaginably huge amount of money, and I can't help but wonder if that's the wisest use of tax dollars right now. What would we get out of a manned mission that a robotic mission couldn't achieve? Beyond good feelings, I mean.

Abe Sauer
Abe Sauer (#148)

One (unintended?) advantage of the shuttle program for a past generation anyway was the unifying effect it had on school children who were gathered, in cafeterias with an old TV rolled out in front of them, to watch together, something happening thousands of miles away. This joined act did more to make kids all feel joined together, invested, in one nation than any handout or civics exercise ever could.

Lockheed Ventura
Lockheed Ventura (#5,536)

For a slacker, the launch looked pretty spectacular this morning.

zidaane
zidaane (#373)

Put a fork in HAL/S.

Gef the Talking Mongoose

At the current levels of NASA funding, I'd say less "Greyhound" and more "Fung Wah bus."

Jean-Luc Lemur
Jean-Luc Lemur (#13,931)

@Gef the Talking Mongoose

No, Soyuz is definitely space-Fung Wah.

Max Clarke
Max Clarke (#3,635)

I am pretty psyched about what SpaceX is working on. They've put (an unmanned version of) their Dragon capsule into orbit already, and have a contract from NASA to use it for cargo deliveries to the ISS starting, I think, later this year.

OK, unmanned cargo deliveries: boring. But another version of the capsule will probably be certified by NASA to carry people in another year or so. And it's been designed with an extra-thick heat shield... meaning it can do re-entry at very high speed... meaning on a return flight from the Moon or even Mars.

The thing that seems to give SpaceX the edge is the Zany Billionaire factor: the company was started by Elon Musk, the guy who made a fortune from PayPal (and who also started Tesla Motors).

He's done an end-run around most of the NASA bureaucracy and Congressional procurement process, which makes everything take about 3 times as long and cost about 3 times as much as it should.

Meanwhile the dinosaur contractors who have been running the shuttle program are lobbying hard to force NASA to hire them to build an expensive "heavy lift" rocket that nobody knows what to do with. Depressingly, they've got Congress on their side, thanks to their strategy of spreading out the construction and assembly over as many states as possible.

ObamasCunt
ObamasCunt (#15,378)

@Max Clarke It is AMAZING what a Capitalist program like SpaceX can do. Wow! Capitalism at work and working better than Big Government. WTF? Who would have thunk it?!?!?

Max Clarke
Max Clarke (#3,635)

@ObamasCunt(?) Well, it's really capitalism vs. crony capitalism. The shuttle contractors are capitalists too, who want to keep the sweet government cash flowing.

What really amuses me are all the self-described conservatives who rant about Obama "destroying America's space program"... because he's directing the agency to, yes, move away from the traditional ("socialist"!) NASA procurement model and let private companies take more initiative. Isn't that what you guys want?

forget it i quit

@Max Clarke They both have their place. Would SpaceX have brought us to the moon in the 60's?

riotnrrd
riotnrrd (#840)

Here is a wonderful essay about the shuttle and why maybe we shouldn't miss it: http://www.idlewords.com/2005/08/a_rocket_to_nowhere.htm

It's a pity that the shitheels on the House Appropriations Committee are strangling NASA. It would have been nice to have a space program.

ObamasCunt
ObamasCunt (#15,378)

@riotnrrd You can blame :Ranking Member, Norm Dicks (WA)

Marcy Kaptur (OH)

Pete Visclosky (IN)

Nita Lowey (NY)

José Serrano (NY)

Rosa DeLauro (CT)

Jim Moran (VA)

John Olver (MA)

Ed Pastor (AZ)

David Price (NC)

Maurice Hinchey (NY)

Lucille Roybal-Allard (CA)

Sam Farr (CA)

Jesse Jackson Jr. (IL)

Chaka Fattah (PA)

Steve Rothman (NJ)

Sanford Bishop (GA)

Barbara Lee (CA)

Adam Schiff (CA)

Mike Honda (CA)

Betty McCollum (MN)

riotnrrd
riotnrrd (#840)

@ObamasCunt Alas, I don't live in any of their districts (or have a billion dollars) so they don't care about my stupid opinions.

Jean-Luc Lemur
Jean-Luc Lemur (#13,931)

@riotnrrd As someone with one foot in planetary science and one foot in transportation, I’d have to say that they’re strangling everybody who’s not over sixty-five and on meds (and even they’d better watch out)—transportation and space travel in general because they both seem more expensive than they really are and had bipartisan support before Obama said positive things about them. Space science and Earth observation from space are under threat because the scientists involved tend to think that Earth’s warming and that it’s been around for a lot longer than five thousand years.

jfruh
jfruh (#713)

"And sadly, it also provided a generational moment as vivid as the moonshot, and then another one, mysteriously less vivid, less than ten years later."

Assuming you're talking Challenger and Columbia, I think that should be "less than 20"? Or else I don't know what the second one is.

HiredGoons
HiredGoons (#603)

We can still explore the oceans, right? I mean... until we kill everything.

hapax
hapax (#6,251)

two hundred miles of vertical assent

Normally this is the sort of typo that would drive me batshit, but I'm actually kind of charmed by the (presumably unintended) pun.

Carrie Frye
Carrie Frye (#9,863)

@hapax Ha ha, I know what you mean. "and he could feel my breasts all perfume yes and his heart was going like mad and yes I said yes I will Vertical Assent." Charming but still fixed -- and thank you!

gfrblxt
gfrblxt (#11,113)

I was born 5 days (5 days!!!) after the Apollo 11 landing. I still give my mom grief about that.

Anyway. Until 9/11 occurred, I had assumed that my generation's "JFK moment" would be the Challenger explosion. I still remember sitting in my math class when my friend from the next classroom over ran in and told us all to turn on the TV. Pretty vivid indeed. (Odd side note: one block from where I used to live, there was an intersection of 2 streets: Challenger (Court) and Columbia (Avenue). I think I would have wanted to move, had I lived there.)

Steph Wortel@twitter

As an astrophysicist, I am disappointed that the STS program is coming to a close in its current incarnation. Manned spaceflight has been an invaluable source of data gathering and telescope maintenance.

As an educator and an American, my heart sinks to think that when Atlantis returns home, our government has no future plans to fund shuttle missions. It is a disappointing defect of our national recession and a clear shift in national priorities. How can we "win the future" if the pie-in-the-sky career choice of "astronaut" is taken off the table? (It was this particular carrot on a stick, in concert with Carl Sagan's rhetoric, that brought me into this line of work.) How diminishing. How emblematic of the course of our country that we have to look to private industry to take up the torch of space flight. Still, it doesn't do much good to lament change: change is endemic to our national identity and science itself.

On the most personal note, though, my feeling is crystallized by conversations I've had with the Director of Astrovisualization at the American Museum of Natural History and with my own father, an electrical engineer and business owner. They watched their decidedly-non-flat-screen TVs with their families as young men, as an impressive team of American scientists and explorers took one small step and one giant leap in a single inspirational moment. I wonder if I will ever get to take part in a scientific moment so inspirational, but I still hope.

cat
cat (#16,254)

good reading this article. I agree with it. I am 31, and my three biggest memories of the space program are : the toy columbia space shuttle I got from the smithsonian when I was 5 or so. THEN the challenger shuttle exploding when I was six, i still remember watching that on tv. Then the columbia re-entry explosion, in 2003, I was in a sandwich shop with friends when that happened (blimpies I think). Anyway, the program was definitely un-inspiring.

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